Economic Data For The Week 🗓️
"Week of March 9th - 13th"
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The Week Ahead 🗓️
It will be another busy week for economic data as markets prepare for the March 18th Federal Reserve rate decision. With the Fed entering its quiet period, incoming economic reports will play a key role in shaping rate expectations.
The MAIN EVENT comes Wednesday with the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
Economists expect inflation to continue moderating as cooling shelter costs offset modest pressures from tariffs and electricity prices. Forecasts call for Headline CPI at 2.4% and Core CPI at 2.5% year-over-year. But with the ongoing war with Iran, this could change.
Markets will also receive the delayed January PCE Price Index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. PCE inflation is expected to remain in the high-2% range, still above the Fed’s 2% target but well below the pandemic peak.
Housing data will also be in focus with Existing Home Sales on Tuesday and Housing Starts on Thursday. Despite mortgage rates easing toward ~6%, housing activity is expected to remain sluggish due to affordability constraints.
On Friday, investors will watch the Michigan Consumer Sentiment report, particularly the 1-year and 5-year inflation expectations, which the Fed closely monitors.
Finally, labor market updates arrive via the ADP employment report (Tuesday) and weekly jobless claims (Thursday).
Bottom Line ✅
I believe inflation data will likely drive market sentiment this week as investors look for confirmation that disinflation continues heading into the March FOMC meeting.
But the ongoing war could throw a wrench in things. Look for the market to be on edge this week.
And if inflation rises, it could be another bloody week!
How do you think this week’s reports will affect the market? Let me know in the comments.
Happy Investing!
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Not financial advice. For educational purposes only. I am not a licensed professional. Do your own due diligence.
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