Economic Data for the Week
"Week of Feb. 2nd to Feb. 6th"
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Big Focus 🧘🏾
January Nonfarm Payrolls (Friday) after last week’s Fed-driven volatility
Payrolls 💵
Expected +68K, marking a third straight month of gains after mid-2025 weakness
Unemployment Rate 👷🏾
Seen holding at 4.4%, just below November’s 5-year high (4.5%)
Wage Growth ↗️
Average Hourly Earnings forecast at 3.6% YoY, slowest pace since June 2021
Early Week Labor Data
Wednesday: ADP Payrolls, JOLTS
Thursday: Challenger Job Cuts, Weekly Jobless Claims
PMIs all week 🗓️
Services PMI (S&P & ISM)
ISM Manufacturing PMI
Friday Add On ⊕
Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Feb prelim)
Includes key 1-Year & 5-Year Inflation Expectations.
Why it matters: Cooling wages + stable labor could reinforce a dovish rate path, while surprises may reignite volatility
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